Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) appears poised for an explosive breakout, both technically and fundamentally. While it remains to be seen whether this materializes by its Q3 earnings report on June 25, the setup suggests a high-probability move is about to happen, and soon.

The fundamental case for a breakout is backed by MU’s deep involvement in the AI memory boom. Its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) is powering Nvidia’s next-gen Blackwell chips, demand is outstripping supply, and prices are rising. With sold-out capacity for 2025 and earnings projected to surge 437% this year, MU’s Q3 report could be the next major catalyst.

In light of these forecasts, let’s put things into context and see where MU has stood over the past year in its comparative performance with VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (SMH), our semiconductor industry proxy, Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLK), for a sector comparison, and Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ), a stand-in for the Nasdaq 100 Index ($NDX).

MU vs. SMH, XLK, and QQQ: Tracking Relative Performance

Despite its recent rally, MU remains a relative laggard. Whether it breaks out will depend on how effectively it positions itself amid shifting industry dynamics.

FIGURE 1. PERFCHARTS OF MU RELATIVE TO ITS INDUSTRY, SECTOR, AND THE NASDAQ 100.  MU has been the big laggard over the past year. You need to take a closer and more detailed look to gain more insight into MU’s current upward momentum.

While analysts are optimistic about its role in the evolving AI-driven landscape, that thesis will be put to the test when the company reports earnings in the coming weeks.

A Shift in Momentum? What the MarketCarpets Are Revealing

While MU lags its industry peers, it might help you to get a more granular view of performance within the semiconductor industry. This is where the StockCharts MarketCarpets Semiconductors summary can be helpful.

FIGURE 2. MARKETCARPETS – SEMICONDUCTORS. In contrast to its peers, a 5-day view shows that MU is the strongest performer.

Though MU has trailed its industry peers over the past year, the 5-day MarketCarpets view reveals a shift in momentum. With a 13.32% gain over the past week, MU is rapidly narrowing the gap and beginning to outpace its peers.

Weekly Chart Levels: Resistance, Support, and Entry Zones

Typically, you’d drill down to a daily chart for more precision, but, with MU, the weekly chart alone highlights the key levels worth watching.

FIGURE 3. WEEKLY CHART OF MU. The weekly chart shows all key levels, from entry to profit targets and stop loss levels.

The weekly chart view clearly outlines support, resistance, and potential entry and exit points. Listed below are the key levels and scenarios to watch.

MU Price Scenarios: Breakout or Breakdown?

• Watch the rectangle formation: MU is approaching a breakout above key resistance at $115, just ahead of its June 25 earnings report. A decisive move above the rectangle could trigger long entries from bullish traders.
• Upside scenario: A beat on earnings and strong forward guidance could fuel continued upside—unless derailed by broader geopolitical risks.
• Downside scenario: If the breakout fails, look for support near the bottom of the formation. The Volume-by-Price indicator shows a heavy concentration of trading at that level, reinforcing its significance as a support zone. However, a breakdown there may cast doubt on the current uptrend thesis.
• Profit-taking zone: If MU continues its bullish trajectory, expect resistance and likely profit-taking between $127 and $137, an area marked by multiple highs and consolidation levels throughout 2024.

Why $127 to $137, when the weekly chart shows $130 to $135? Here’s where zooming in helps.

FIGURE 4. ZOOMING N TO A DAILY CHART OF MU. This shows, in much greater detail, the potential resistance levels above.

The top and bottom of this consolidation provide a clearer view of potential resistance, which may also serve as profit-taking levels for short-term traders, so keep an eye on this.

• Last thing – watch the peak: A second round of resistance and potential profit-taking may occur near $155, a key level that previously marked the stock’s all-time high.

Momentum-wise—and note we’re looking at a longer-term time frame—the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests there’s still plenty of room to run before MU enters overbought territory. Volume-wise, however, you will want to see the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) levels increase once the breakout occurs, confirming that buying pressure is supporting the move.

Quick Take: The Setup at a Glance

In a nutshell: Watch for a breakout above $115 ahead of MU’s June 25 earnings by setting an alert using the Technical Alert Workbench. Note that entering a position ahead of earnings is always a risky prospect. If you are planning to take any action at all, make sure it’s in alignment with your own personal trading strategy and criteria.

A beat on earnings and strong guidance could fuel further upside, but watch out! If Wall Street decides to “sell the news,” due to any detail that dampens investor or analyst sentiment, a sharp decline could follow. If MU moves strongly to the upside, look for confirmation via rising CMF levels, which would signal real buying pressure.

If the breakout fails, key support lies near the bottom of the current trading range. On the upside, expect potential resistance and profit-taking between $127–$137, with a secondary ceiling near $155. The RSI still shows room for further gains before MU becomes overbought.

Final Thoughts: Will MU Deliver on the AI Hype?

MU may be lagging now, but, as the MarketCarpets data shows, momentum is quietly shifting, and the shift may accelerate as MU approaches both a potential breakout level and its earnings date. With a critical breakout level in sight and earnings just days away, consider preparing for a potential surge in volatility, which could move the stock in either direction. If MU does break to the upside, whether it can maintain its momentum post-breakout will depend on volume, CMF strength, and how convincingly MU rides the AI memory wave.

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

Unlock the power of divergence analysis! Join Dave as he breaks down what a bearish momentum divergence is and why it matters. Throughout this video, Dave illustrates how to confirm (or invalidate) the signal on the S&P500, Nasdaq100, equal‑weighted indexes, semiconductors, and even defensive names like AT&T (T).

This video originally premiered on June 10, 2025. Watch on StockCharts’ dedicated David Keller page!

Previously recorded videos from Dave are available at this link.

Unlock the power of divergence analysis! Join Dave as he breaks down what a bearish momentum divergence is and why it matters. Throughout this video, Dave illustrates how to confirm (or invalidate) the signal on the S&P500, Nasdaq100, equal‑weighted indexes, semiconductors, and even defensive names like AT&T (T).

This video originally premiered on June 10, 2025. Watch on StockCharts’ dedicated David Keller page!

Previously recorded videos from Dave are available at this link.

The U.S. stock market has been painting a subtle picture recently. While the broader indexes, such as the S&P 500 ($SPX), Nasdaq Composite ($COMPQ), and Dow Jones Industrial Average ($INDU), are indeed grinding higher, the daily movements have been relatively subdued. This is a noticeable shift from the more dynamic action we observed in April.

Investors may be waiting for Wednesday’s May Consumer Price Index (CPI), the results of the U.S.-China trade talks, or the next market-moving news headline. What’s encouraging is the underlying strength in market breadth. We’re seeing a healthy number of one-month new highs across most broader indexes (with the exception of Dow Utilities), Bullish Percent Indexes signaling bullish tendencies, and investors gravitating toward offensive sectors vs. defensive ones.

On the surface, everything points to a continuation of the bullish trend. However, as astute investors, our primary objective is to protect our capital. This means we mus always consider the possibility of a downside correction and be prepared to adapt.

This is where the StockCharts Market Summary page becomes an indispensable tool for your market analysis.

Let’s dive into how the Market Summary page can help you gain a unique perspective on market dynamics.

Beyond the Headlines: Uncovering Global Trends

One of the powerful features of the Market Summary page is its ability to provide a global snapshot. If you navigate to the Global Snapshot tab in the Equities panel and sort the “+/- SMA(200)” column in descending order, you’ll notice something fascinating: the Eurozone occupies the top spot while the Total US sits at the bottom (see image below).

FIGURE 1. A GLOBAL SNAPSHOT. The Eurozone is trading well above its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) while the Total US is only 4.37% above its 200-day SMA.Image source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

This insightful view suggests that global markets have been trending well above their 200-day simple moving average than the US market. This insight is worth a deeper dive.

Consider the daily charts of the iShares MSCI Eurozone ETF (EZU) and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) which serve as proxies for these regions.

Since April 8, EZU has been on a steep ascent, demonstrating upward momentum. This price action is similar to the S&P 500, but if you consider the relative performance of the SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) vs. EZU, SPY is underperforming EZU (see bottom panel in the chart below).

FIGURE 2. DAILY CHART OF EZU. The ETF is exhibiting a steep ascent and is outperforming SPY. Will the trend become less steep or continue its steep uptrend? Be sure to monitor the RSI.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing lackluster momentum. Generally, a steep trend loses its mojo after a while and reverts to a more normal trend.

Meanwhile, though VTI has also moved higher, its percentage rise was slightly less than EZU. Also, as EZU hit an all-time high, VTI is still trying to reach that milestone (see chart below).

FIGURE 3. DAILY CHART OF VTI. The ETF is also exhibiting a steep ascent but is trying hard to reach its all-time high.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

The RSI is showing lackluster momentum, similar to that of EZU, which could mean the steep ascent may be losing its steam.

Identifying Global Opportunities

It will be interesting to see how the global financial market evolves from here. Who will be the first to revert to a more normal sloping trend? Will EZU continue its outperformance, or will VTI take the lead?

And let’s not forget the global ETFs positioned in the middle of the pack. Regions like Asia (ex Japan), Latin America, or Emerging Markets could take the lead. For example, the Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) has exhibited a more classic uptrend. Over the past year, it has outperformed SPY by around 127% (see chart below). The RSI is also showing greater momentum than the other charts we analyzed.

FIGURE 4. DAILY CHART OF VWO. This ETF is exhibiting a more normal uptrend and, over the last year, has outperformed SPY by a whopping 127%. RSI is also rising, suggesting there could be momentum here.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Empowering Your Stock Market Analysis

To stay ahead of market trends and uncover hidden gems, investors and traders should regularly monitor the charts in the Market Summary ChartLists. If you haven’t already, download the StockCharts Market Summary ChartPack (it’s free for subscribers).

Scrolling through the pre-built ChartLists will help you to:

• Stay on top of the market’s price action across sectors, industries, and global regions.
• Identify market internals, such as breadth and sentiment.
• Uncover some hidden gems that could translate into favorable investment opportunities.

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.