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Spirit Airlines is out of bankruptcy, hitting its target to emerge in the first quarter, after a crippling few years. CEO Ted Christie says the carrier is leaner and ready to take on competitors, including rival Southwest Airlines.

Earlier this week, Southwest shocked customers by announcing it will start charging for checked bags for the first time in its half-century of flying, a huge strategy move for the largest domestic U.S. carrier. (There are some exceptions to Southwest new bag rules, which take effect in late May.)

“I think it’s going to be painful for a little bit as they find their footing, and we’re going to take advantage of that,” Spirit’s Christie said in an interview Thursday.

Southwest had been a standout in the U.S. by offering all customers two free checked bags, a perk that has endured recessions, spikes in fuel prices and other crises while most rivals introduced bag fees and raised them every few years.

Spirit Airlines, on the other hand, made a la carte pricing common in the U.S., with fees for seat assignments, checked bags and other add-ons. It’s a strategy most large airlines, except for Southwest, have copied in one form or another.

As Southwest starts charging for bags and introduces its first basic economy class, which doesn’t include a seat assignment or allow free changes, Spirit could possibly win over customers, Christie said.

Southwest said it would get rid of its single-class open seating model last year.

“There at least was an audience of people who were intentionally selecting and flying Southwest because they felt that it was easy. They knew they were going to get two bags,” Christie said. “Now that that’s no longer the case, it’s easy to say that they’re going to widen their aperture and they’re now going to look around.”

Spirit is far smaller than Southwest and even smaller than it was last year, but it competes with the airline in cities like Kansas City, Missouri; Nashville, Columbus, Ohio; and Milwaukee. If customers look on travel sites like Expedia, where Southwest is a new entrant, Spirit’s tickets could be cheaper and appear higher in results, Christie said.

Other airline executives have also said they expect to win over some Southwest customers.

Delta Air Lines President Glen Hauenstein said at a JPMorgan industry conference Tuesday that there are consumers who choose Southwest based on its free-bag perk “and now those customers are up for grabs.”

Spirit, for its part, has recently been offering more ticket bundles that include things like seat assignments and luggage.

The carrier is now focused on returning to profitability. It posted a net loss of more than $1.2 billion last year, more than double its loss in 2023 as it grappled with grounded jets because of a Pratt & Whitney engine recall, higher costs, more domestic competition and a failed acquisition by JetBlue Airways.

Spirit has rejected multiple recent merger attempts by fellow budget carrier Frontier Airlines. Christie said Thursday that nothing is “off the table” and that a fifth-largest airline as a low cost carrier in the U.S. makes sense, but that the airline is focused on stabilizing itself after bankruptcy.

Through its restructuring process, which started in November, Spirit said it reduced its debt by about $795 million. The transaction converted debt into equity for major creditors. The carrier also received a $350 million equity infusion.

Spirit plans to relist its shares on a stock exchange but hasn’t set a date yet.

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Donatella Versace announced Thursday that she is stepping down as chief creative officer of Versace, ending her nearly 30-year-long stint at the Italian luxury fashion empire’s helm.

Versace, 69, took on the role to lead the luxury fashion house after her brother and its founder, Gianni Versace, was fatally gunned down outside his Miami Beach mansion in 1997.

‘It has been the greatest honor of my life to carry on my brother Gianni’s legacy,’ Versace wrote on Instagram. ‘He was the true genius, but I hope I have some of his spirit and tenacity.’

Following her brother’s death — and despite not having a background in design or fashion — Versace quickly became a living embodiment of the Versace brand and remains a beloved figure within the fashion industry.

Italian fashion designer Gianni Versace.Toni Thorimbert / Sygma via Getty Images file

The 69-year-old’s iconic pin-straight blond hair and her unparalleled ability to bring together the industry’s top models, including Naomi Campbell and Cindy Crawford, for the fashion house’s out-of-this-world runway shows became as emblematic of the brand as its gold mythological logo.Emmanuel Gintzburger, CEO of Versace — whose parent company is fashion conglomerate Capri Holdings — said that the brand ‘is what it is today because of Donatella Versace and the passion she has brought to her role every day for nearly thirty years.’

‘The universal values she stands for and her love for uncompromised creativity anchored Versace far beyond a brand or a company,’ he said in a statement. ‘Working alongside her has been an incredible privilege and pleasure.’

Dario Vitale, the former design and image director of Italian brand Miu Miu, will lead the fashion house as its new chief creative officer, the company said in a statement.

“I want to express my sincere thank you to Donatella for her trust in me, and for her tireless dedication to the extraordinary brand that Versace is today,” Vitale said in a statement. “It is a privilege to contribute to the future growth of Versace and its global impact through my vision, expertise and dedication.”

Versace will stay on at the company as its chief brand ambassador.

‘I will remain Versace’s most passionate supporter,’ she said. ‘Versace is in my DNA and always in my heart.’

This post appeared first on NBC NEWS

Problem: How can you tell if an index is about to reverse—even before the price reflects it?

Answer: Look at what’s happening internally within the index—in other words, analyze market breadth, also called “participation.”

Spotting a Rebound in a Plunging Market

Like most investors, you look to the three major indices—DJIA, S&P 500, and the Nasdaq—to get an immediate glimpse of the market. But when all three are cratering, like most of the sessions we’ve seen this week and last, you often won’t find any early hint of a rebound or reversal from the indices themselves.

Indices can be misleading because they don’t reflect the movement of individual stocks within them. They are market-cap-weighted, meaning a few big stocks can skew the picture, masking broader market trends.

What this means is that, if you’re looking for signs that the market may be turning more bullish amid a wave of selling, you need to look at what’s happening internally. Are all stocks and sectors following the decline, or are some starting to rise—even if their movements aren’t reflected in the index price?

Enter the McClellan Oscillator

The McClellan Oscillator is one of many market breadth indicators that track the internal movements of the stock market and, by extension, the indices that represent them. Breadth indicators can help confirm trends and, more importantly, expose underlying weaknesses in rallies or hidden strengths in declines, helping you spot potential reversals before they appear in price.

Specifically, here’s a nutshell description of how the McClellan Oscillator works:

  • It measures market breadth, tracking advancing vs. declining stocks to give a clear picture of overall participation.
  • A reading above zero indicates bullish momentum (more advancing than declining stocks).
  • A reading below zero suggests bearish momentum (more declining than advancing stocks).
  • Crossovers help identify trend reversals. A crossover above or below zero can confirm a shift in market momentum.
  • Divergences also suggest potential reversals early on. If the oscillator moves opposite the index, it may signal that a reversal may be underway.

The last two points are what I will focus on in this article. Given the current tariff-fueled plunge, are any of the three indices showing signs of a potential reversal? And, if not, what should you look out for?

Let’s start with the S&P 500 ($SPX). Here’s a daily chart. For a more expansive breadth context, I am including the Bullish Percent Index (BPI) to show yet another angle on market breadth.

FIGURE 1. DAILY CHART OF THE S&P 500. Buyers are jumping in at the key 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement level. But does the overall participation support this reversal thesis?

Anticipating a downside target, I drew a Fibonacci Retracement from the (2024) August low to the December high. Bullish traders anticipating a rebound at the 61.8% level have started to enter their positions.

From a market breadth perspective, it’s too early to tell whether this key support level will signal a reversal. The NYSE McClellan Oscillator (a large portion of S&P 500 stocks trade on the NYSE) shows that declining shares within the index outweigh the advancing shares. The BPI reading, on the other hand, confirms this reading, as fewer than 50% of S&P 500 stocks are generating Point & Figure buy signals, a condition favoring the bears as it also signals technical weakness.

What to look for in the coming sessions: Notice the pink lines on both the chart and the McClellan indicator window signaling divergences. Look for bullish divergences or a crossover above the zero line in the coming sessions. However, don’t treat these as automatic buy signals. Instead, they suggest potential bullish conditions, suggesting you construct an entry setup if one presents itself.

Now, let’s look at a daily chart of the Nasdaq 100 ($NDX).

FIGURE 2. DAILY CHART OF THE NASDAQ 100. Declines are starting to stabilize as buyers enter the market, but it may be too soon to call a reversal.

The Nasdaq 100 shows a similar Fib Retracement reaction as in the S&P 500 example above; namely, buyers are jumping in at the 61.8% level.

The McClellan Oscillator remains bearish, but declines appear to be stabilizing (see pink lines). Notably, communications and healthcare stocks are slowing the drop. While not a bullish reversal signal, this shift could lead to a turnaround depending on how other sectors react in the coming sessions. Meanwhile, the BPI at 35%, tells you that the current price environment continues to favor the bears.

What to look for in the coming sessions. Similar to the previous S&P 500 example, keep an eye on the McClellan Oscillator readings for any bullish divergence or a crossover above the zero line. Remember, these signals indicate improving market breadth and potential upward momentum, but they are not automatic buy signals. Once a positive shift occurs, it’s going to require further confirmation from price action, volume, and other technical indicators before you jump into a trade.

A Two-Step Process

What I just demonstrated was a simple two-step process. Feel free to tweak it according to your preference. When a major selloff is underway…

  1. You need a means to forecast downside price targets. I used Fibonacci Retracements to set my downside targets (you can use other indicators to project potential support and resistance levels).
  2. Use a breadth indicator like the McClellan Oscillator to gauge how prices react to those downside targets. Namely, divergences and crossovers should alert you to the possibility of a reversal.
  3. Add other indicators to confirm the reversal when it happens. Don’t rely solely on one indicator; check price action, volume, and momentum, and have an exit plan in case it doesn’t follow through.

At the Close

Here’s the main point. You can use the McClellan Oscillator to anticipate turns in an index before it tips its hand, so to speak. It reveals shifts in market participation before such shifts become evident in prices. While major indices can be misleading due to their market-cap weighting, the oscillator focuses on breadth and momentum across all stocks and sectors comprising an entire index or market.

As of now, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 show no clear signs of a bullish reversal. However, when a shift does occur, the McClellan Oscillator may be among the breadth indicators to signal it first—so keep an eye on it.


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

In this exclusive StockCharts video, Joe revisits a critical ADX signal that gave a major market warning, explaining the pattern and a new low ADX setup to watch. He breaks down SPY and QQQ support zones, sector rotation, and reviews viewer symbol requests including T, WBD, and more. Don’t miss this technical analysis update to stay ahead of the market!

This video was originally published on March 12, 2025. Click this link to watch on Joe’s dedicated page.

Archived videos from Joe are available at this link. Send symbol requests to stocktalk@stockcharts.com; you can also submit a request in the comments section below the video on YouTube. Symbol Requests can be sent in throughout the week prior to the next show.

Where can investors find a safe haven during a period of market uncertainty?  Personally, I think it’s as simple as focusing on the stocks managing to display bullish technical structures at a time when they are becoming remarkably rare!  Today we’ll use the StockCharts scan engine to identify charts showing strength despite broader market weakness.

There’s Strength in Financials But Not the Banks

The first chart on my list from this week’s scan, CME Group (CME), was featured in my recent podcast interview with Jay Woods, CMT.  We talked about how the financial sector had been quite strong so far in 2025, but that the really impressive charts were the exchanges.  

The simple fact that CME currently sits above two upward-sloping moving averages means this name is in a small subset of the S&P 500 that can still make that claim.  The momentum picture has remained quite strong, with recent pullbacks bringing the RSI no lower than the 40 level.  The improving relative strength at the bottom tells perhaps the most important story, showing how this stock has consistently outperformed the S&P 500 in 2025.

As long as the trend continues to form a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, and the moving averages continue to slope higher, I would consider this chart “innocent until proven guilty.” 

Auto Parts Remains a Strong Group in a Struggling Sector

While I’ve found numerous ideas in the Consumer Staples sector in 2025, given the renewed strength in this previously beaten down sector, this next chart is actually in the Consumer Discretionary sector.  Auto parts names like Autozone Inc. Nevada (AZO) have pulled back this week from an overbought condition, but the chart remains in a primary uptrend of higher highs and higher lows.

Similar to CME, we can observe a classic uptrend pattern over the last 18 months.  We can also see an ascending triangle pattern through much of 2024, with a fairly consistent resistance level and an upward-sloping trendline connecting the swing lows. The upside breakout in December 2024, followed by a retest of that previous resistance level into mid-January, seems to confirm the long-term bullish technical structure.

What strikes me about both of these charts is that they show no real signs of market instability.  At a time when it feels like pretty much everything is rotating lower amidst growing market turmoil, stocks that indicate they are somehow immune to bearish market forces deserve our respect and attention.

Three-Month Highs Often Signal Renewed Strength

How did I identify these winning names at a time when they seem very difficult to find?  I simply used the StockCharts scan engine to identify stocks making a new 13-week high.  You can copy and paste the text below into the Scan Workbench to run this scan using your own login.

[type = stock]

and [group is not ETF]

and [[exchange = NYSE] or [exchange = NASD]]

and [market cap > 5,000]

//and [group is SP500]

and [Weekly Close > Last Week’s MAX(13,Close)]

Those last two lines are the most important, as the rest is basically filtering the universe down to stocks traded on the major US exchanges with a market cap over $5 billion.  The fifth line has two slashes before the parameter “group is SP500”, which tells the scan engine to ignore that line.  I like to include that line in every scan I run, as I often toggle between a larger equity universe and then just to the S&P 500 members.

The final line looks for stocks where the current weekly closing price is higher than the previous 13 weekly closing prices.  And while this particular scan would certainly include stocks that have been in long-term uptrends for well over three months, I’ve found new three-month highs can be a great place to start to look for charts just beginning to emerge from a basing pattern.

For the other three stocks I found earlier this week using this scan, and much further detail on the technical implications of these charts, check out my latest video on the StockCharts TV YouTube channel!

RR#6,

Dave

PS- Ready to upgrade your investment process?  Check out my free behavioral investing course!

David Keller, CMT

President and Chief Strategist

Sierra Alpha Research LLC

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.  The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.  

The author does not have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication.    Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

Things are heating up in the final stretch of the NBA season.

The Houston Rockets were hosting the Phoenix Suns at the Toyota Center Wednesday night when the intensity suddenly boiled over. The Rockets’ Steven Adams and Suns’ Mason Plumlee were involved in a scuffle and ejected during the first half of Houston’s 111-104 victory.

Here’s what you need to know:

Steven Adams-Mason Plumlee fight

The second-quarter scuffle led to both big men being ejected from the game after receiving double technical fouls.

After a made basket by Jalen Green, Plumlee and Adams got tangled up in the key with one another. The duo fell on the court together with Plumlee landing on top of Adams.

A photograph showed a cut above Plumlee’s eye.

Up Next

The Rockets will host the Dallas Mavericks on Friday while the Suns host the Sacramento Kings. It remains unclear if Adams or Plumlee will be available for their respective teams as they potentially face supplemental discipline.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

Forget keeping up with the Joneses. It’s the Johnsons you have to worry about.

At least that’s what Amon-Ra St. Brown would have you believe.

The Detroit Lions’ receiver watched his offensive coordinator, Ben Johnson, depart for the Chicago Bears’ head coaching job this offseason. Now he has to watch as Chicago flexes its financial muscle, spending at will through trades and free agency to improve their squad.

‘Bro, I feel like the Bears have unlimited (expletive) money,’ St. Brown said on the St. Brown Podcast. ‘This (expletive)’s crazy.’

The Bears are trying to close the gap between them and the kings of the NFC North in Detroit, using their available cap space to vastly improve the team – on paper.

Still, St. Brown isn’t thrilled seeing a rival team add so many pieces without seemingly making a dent in their spending power.

‘They’re just signing new (expletive) for 40, 50 million dollars,’ St. Brown said. ‘Joe Thuney, boom. Jonah Jackson, bang. Drew Dalman, bang. … Dayo Odeyingbo, crazy amount of money. Grady Jarrett, bang. They’re just breaking everybody off. They have unlimited money, what the (expletive) is this?’

It’ll take a little more than just spending money to turn the Bears into a contender, but their offseason moves have clearly started getting the attention of their direct competitors.

After the Lions saw their coaching staff raided, losing both coordinators, there is a chance the gap has closed.

And St. Brown might know it.

The USA TODAY app gets you to the heart of the news — fastDownload for award-winning coverage, crosswords, audio storytelling, the eNewspaper and more.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

A woman has filed for a protective order against Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Xavier Worthy following a domestic dispute that resulted in Worthy’s arrest earlier this month.

The woman was granted a temporary ex-parte protective order against Worthy in a Williamson County District Court on Wednesday, according to court records obtained by the Austin American-Statesman. A temporary ex-parte protective order can last up to 20 days, Williamson County states.

‘Today, (the woman) filed an application for a protective order against Xavier Worthy, based (on) his violent actions against her culminating on the night of March 7, 2025,’ the woman’s lawyer said Wednesday in a statement to the Statesman. ‘Based upon the truthful information provided… a judge has granted a temporary protective order on her behalf. She is fully cooperating with law enforcement as they continue to actively investigate the violence that occurred that night.’

The order was granted nearly a week after Worthy was arrested and charged with assault against a family or household member by impeding their breathing or circulation in Williamson County, Texas. Williamson County District Attorney Shawn Dick declined to press charges at the time after speaking with multiple witnesses, although his office reserves the right to file charges at a later time, if warranted.

XAVIER WORTHY: Chiefs rookie arrested on assault charge; authorities decline to press charges

‘We will continue to evaluate the case,’ Dick’s office said at the time. ‘As is our practice with all declines, should you develop additional information indicative of probable cause in this case, our office will consider that information and may present the case at that time to a Williamson County Grand Jury.”

It is not immediately clear if the temporary ex-parte protective order against Worthy will lead to any criminal charges. Dick declined to comment on the matter, instead telling the Statesman on Wednesday: “Our office will continue to work through with the Sheriff’s Office on the follow up of their continued investigation.’

Worthy’s lawyers called the allegations against their client ‘baseless.’ His lawyers said Worthy was involved in a dispute with a woman who refused to leave his home and accused her of scratching his face and property damage. Worthy, via his lawyers, maintained his innocence on Wednesday.

“We are aware of the civil court (not criminal court) filing by (the alleged victim) and her criminal defense team. Mr. Worthy denies each of the allegations,’ his lawyers told the Statesman on Wednesday. ‘Unfortunately, false allegations continue to be made, this time in civil court. Today the accuser returned items stolen from Mr. Worthy’s residence while he was in jail and there are items still missing from when he was incarcerated. Mr. Worthy maintains his innocence and stands by the conclusions of the District Attorney after law enforcement’s review of (the woman’s) unfounded allegations.”

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

Sometimes, in a world full of lies, you will get the occasional kernel of truth. That’s what happened when ESPN analyst Louis Riddick was asked about a smear campaign against Shedeur Sanders.

Sanders, the University of Colorado quarterback, will likely be a first round pick and could go in the top five in the upcoming NFL draft. There’s been persistent talk that Sanders is brash or arrogant. Some of this reportedly came from an anonymous NFL quarterbacks coach. The talk has become so loud that various people in the media began addressing it. Before Riddick talked about this issue on the ‘Dan Patrick Show’ this week, Josina Anderson, one of the most respected NFL insiders in the business, addressed it as well.

“I am disappointed to hear that a quarterbacks coach from a team drafting in the top 7 referred to Shedeur Sanders as coming off ‘brash’ and ‘arrogant’ in his team interview and making his assessment known to a number of people, per source,” Anderson wrote on X on March 3.

“This coach’s personal assessment is the direct opposite from how Sanders came across to many reporters in his press conference with the media at the Combine,” Anderson wrote. “Sanders appeared to go out of his way to acknowledge multiple media members, regardless if they were recognizable or not. He seemed cordial, polite, witty, thoughtful along with being confident (as many athletes are).”

“According to league sources, said QB coach seems to have issue with ‘the culture’ of athletes who have broad fame and financial success before entering the NFL, and in their opinions, appears to them to have a problem certain athletes — I’ll leave it at that,” Anderson wrote.

This is where Riddick comes in with a remarkable piece of truth.

“Are you sold that Shedeur Sanders is a first-round quarterback?” Patrick asked.

“He’s a top-half of the first round player,” Riddick said.

“Where is this negativity coming from?” Patrick said. “It feels like it was a smear campaign.’

“People have been at this game … trying to talk certain prospects down for years,” Riddick said. “Deion is a lightning rod. That’s where it starts — it doesn’t even start with Shedeur, this starts with his father and then it just trickles down to him.

“It’s been that way since I played with Deion back in 1992. People don’t like flashy guys like that who can back it up. They just don’t. With Deion, he’s always been a polarizing player to the people who don’t know him. With Shedeur, he has some of his father in him, there’s no question. How could he not? He’s the man’s son.

“A lot of it comes from who he is and what his last name is.”

Ding.

Ding.

Ding.

That is where this is all coming from. It emerges from a dislike of Deion and that dislike is transferred down to his son.

Riddick is a greatly respected NFL presence. He’s a former player, former team executive and longtime analyst. When he speaks, you listen.

Deion hasn’t always been likeable. When he dumped water on the head of analyst Tim McCarver, well, that wasn’t cool. Deion has said things I don’t agree with.

But Deion has also proven to be an exemplary coach and leader. His son is professional, smart and tough. There is literally no rational reason now not to like Shedeur. None. Zero.

This story is of course layered. Some people may genuinely dislike Shedeur as a player. They may believe he’s not as good as others think. That’s all fine. But as Riddick points out there are other factors here as well.

Also, to be sure, some of the disinformation is a smokescreen. It’s extremely common for teams to lie about prospects in order to drive down their value, so they can get them later in the draft. This rarely works but that doesn’t stop teams from trying. This is why draft season is called ‘lying season.’

There’s also the fact that this type of thing has happened historically to Black draft prospects. This was a point ESPN analyst and former NFL player Ryan Clark said on ‘First Take.’

‘They plant these certain reports, and you do hear these certain things, and you hear the word ‘arrogant.’ Why is he arrogant? Because he won’t walk into the meeting and bend the knee, or he won’t sit in the meeting and question himself or his abilities or his knowledge and experience in the game?’ Clark said. ‘I don’t believe that’s arrogance – I want a quarterback that’s self-assured. I want a quarterback that can cut the film on, and when you ask him a certain question about ‘why did you make this mistake’ or ‘why did you make this throw’ or ‘why was this the right read,’ I want him to be able to regurgitate that to me like he’s in the play at the moment the same way a coach or offensive coordinator would, because that’s what he’s gonna have he to do. I’ve had conversations with Shedeur Sanders, and he can do that.’

Clark added: ‘It’s not just about him being Deion Sanders’ son. It’s about the bravado he carries. It’s about the fact that he looks a certain way. It is about the fact that the color of his skin sometimes at the position can be questioned. And I believe Shedeur Sanders is going to have to deal with that until he gets on the field.’

What’s also clear is that Shedeur has a number of allies. One of them is Patrick.

“Shedeur Sanders hasn’t thrown a football, hasn’t played a game in a couple of months. But you’re starting to get the feeling, I don’t want to say ‘smear campaign,’ but it does feel like you start to pile on,” Patrick said. “And sometimes, the insiders are following insiders, and they want to make sure that they don’t miss on this. And it’s an echo chamber, it’s a circle. Now you start to hear, ‘hey nobody’s sold necessarily on Shedeur Sanders being a first-round draft pick.’ Where did that come from? That was quick.”

‘Show me a quarterback who’s not arrogant,’ said NFL analyst Mark Schlereth on FS1. ‘You ever sit with a guy who’s going to be a star quarterback? Most of them are arrogant. Most of them have a lot of belief in what they do.’

‘He’s incredibly accurate,’ Schlereth continued. ‘He really understands not only offensive football, but he understands what you’re doing as a defense. So he’ll pick you apart that way. He processes quickly. Like, all those things to me are big-time attributes.’

Yes, it’s lying season.

But Riddick told the truth.

This story was updated with new information.

This post appeared first on USA TODAY

It has become fashionable to say that Arkansas surging from 0-5 in the SEC to an almost certain NCAA Tournament constitutes one of the best coaching jobs in John Calipari’s 33-year career, which is the kind of thing you’d put out into the world only if you have the memory of a firefly or a desperate need to defend something that never should have happened in the first place. 

Here in the land of reality, Arkansas needing to beat South Carolina in the Wednesday lunchtime game at the SEC tournament to lock up an at-large bid is not much to brag about. Given the millions upon millions of dollars Arkansas spent to hire Calipari and then load up his roster with impact transfers and blue-chip freshmen, it should have never been in doubt. 

But all that said, let’s fast forward to Selection Sunday. If you’re the fan of a No. 6 seed and you see Arkansas pop up as your first-round opponent? We’re not going to judge you for whatever swear words come out of your mouth. 

Because even though Arkansas isn’t exactly a good team — and we saw why in its bizarre 72-68 win over South Carolina — there may not be a double-digit seed in the field with the potential to be as dangerous for any given 40-minute period. 

It’s the frontcourt size that can beat you up on the boards. 

It’s the ability to get downhill off the dribble with athletic wings.

It’s the experience of a few key players, including one who’s been in a Final Four and another who played in last year’s Elite Eight. 

And let’s face it: It’s Calipari, who is in the rare position of entering an NCAA Tournament with nothing to lose. 

Remember the last time that happened? It was 2014, when Kentucky left the SEC tournament as an underwhelming No. 8 seed and played for a national title three weeks later. 

With the caveat that anything can happen in March, this Arkansas team doesn’t seem built for that kind of run. 

Not only have the Razorbacks struggled to compete with the SEC’s top-tier teams this year outside of one magical night in Calipari’s homecoming to Kentucky, you need offense to go deep in the tournament. The reality is this Razorbacks team will statistically be one of the most inefficient in the entire NCAA field. Even against South Carolina on Wednesday, it went through a second half stretch of nearly 12 minutes without making a basket and almost blew the game. The next time the Razorbacks do something like that, their season will be over. 

But if a few shots go down next week, Arkansas could absolutely be a surprise Sweet 16 team — which is kind of what they were supposed to be all along. 

Despite the revisionist history around this Arkansas season, Calipari did not bring in players like Johnell Davis from Florida Atlantic, Jonas Aidoo from Tennessee and his Kentucky trio of D.J. Wagner, Adou Thiero and Zvonimir Ivisic just to squeak into the tournament. 

This is a serious roster, including one key holdover in skilled big man Trevon Brazile and three freshmen who could have gone just about anywhere. 

It didn’t come cheap, either. Though nobody but folks at Arkansas know the real numbers, the Razorbacks are believed to have spent more in NIL to put this team together than all but a handful of teams in the country. 

Everyone can judge for themselves whether it should be considered a success for that group to get its act together after starting 0-5 in SEC play and get on the right side of the bubble late in the season.

It’s certainly better than the alternative. But when you’re talking about one of the most successful coaches of the modern era who has had some truly incredible coaching years at UMass, Memphis and Kentucky, we can go ahead and dispense with the fiction that this was one of them. 

But now that the Razorbacks are in, it only takes two or three tournament wins for the narrative to flip entirely. That’s how the tournament goes. And that’s why Calipari, for all the times he underwhelmed in March, is not the coach you want to see when he’s on this side of it. 

Because the one thing Calipari has always known is that the odds usually favor talent in this sport. When Arkansas shows up in the NCAA Tournament next week, it’s highly likely Calipari will have the more talented team — regardless of what the seeding says. 

“Everyone put us in a coffin after 0-5, they just forgot the nails,” Calipari said on his postgame radio show last Saturday after beating Mississippi State.

Not only is it a great quote, it represents his greatest gift. No matter what, he fights, and his team usually follows. 

If you really want to dig through the records and find Calipari’s best coaching jobs, it’s willing UMass from nowhere to the national spotlight. It’s going to an Elite Eight at Memphis with a team that didn’t have a single first-round draft pick. It might be his second year at Kentucky when he did not have a great roster by Kentucky standards and upset Ohio State and North Carolina to get to a Final Four. 

That’s the stuff people don’t remember. They think about the dominant teams, some of whom got tripped up in March when it seemed like the path was clear. But it’s an entirely differently mindset for him in a situation like this where it’s practically a free roll in the NCAA Tournament and there’s no real consequence to losing early. 

That’s not to say Arkansas is primed to do something special next week. This is a deeply flawed team, and it hasn’t shown the ability all season to beat elite teams despite having a lot of opportunities to do just that in the SEC. 

But it’s still a group with more talent than similarly seeded teams and a coach who has pulled off some pretty impressive stuff before in March. Whoever draws the Razorbacks in the first round shouldn’t be happy about it. 

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